Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000207 0.000232 0.000258 0.000288 0.000321 0.000358 0.000400
2025-03-02 0.000168 0.000201 0.000238 0.000283 0.000336 0.000398 0.000474
2025-03-09 0.000143 0.000179 0.000224 0.000281 0.000353 0.000440 0.000555
2025-03-16 0.000124 0.000164 0.000213 0.000281 0.000370 0.000484 0.000640
2025-03-23 0.000110 0.000151 0.000205 0.000282 0.000388 0.000528 0.000730
2025-03-30 0.000097 0.000139 0.000196 0.000280 0.000400 0.000566 0.000813
2025-04-06 0.000088 0.000131 0.000191 0.000282 0.000417 0.000610 0.000909
2025-04-13 0.000080 0.000123 0.000185 0.000283 0.000432 0.000652 0.001005
2025-04-20 0.000072 0.000114 0.000177 0.000279 0.000439 0.000683 0.001085
2025-04-27 0.000069 0.000112 0.000178 0.000288 0.000467 0.000748 0.001223
2025-05-04 0.000065 0.000108 0.000176 0.000293 0.000489 0.000803 0.001351
2025-05-11 0.000061 0.000104 0.000174 0.000296 0.000506 0.000853 0.001474
2025-05-18 0.000056 0.000098 0.000169 0.000296 0.000519 0.000898 0.001596
2025-05-25 0.000051 0.000091 0.000161 0.000290 0.000523 0.000930 0.001696
2025-06-01 0.000047 0.000087 0.000156 0.000289 0.000534 0.000972 0.001822
2025-06-08 0.000043 0.000082 0.000153 0.000289 0.000548 0.001022 0.001964
2025-06-15 0.000041 0.000079 0.000150 0.000290 0.000563 0.001076 0.002120
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000075 0.000145 0.000288 0.000573 0.001119 0.002258
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000072 0.000143 0.000290 0.000589 0.001177 0.002431
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000069 0.000140 0.000291 0.000604 0.001231 0.002601
2025-07-13 0.000031 0.000066 0.000136 0.000287 0.000608 0.001266 0.002733
2025-07-20 0.000030 0.000065 0.000137 0.000296 0.000642 0.001364 0.003009
2025-07-27 0.000029 0.000064 0.000137 0.000302 0.000667 0.001445 0.003255